Raja Jasti’s Blog - Renaissance Thinking

August 15, 2009

Value of an inbound link

Filed under: Media, Trends — Tags: — Raja @ 9:06 pm

Recently there seems to be growing sentiment among news media that aggregators are parasites that destroy value . Here is another such argument made by Arnon Mishikin in a post Paidcontent.org.

Arnon Mishkin is a partner with Mitchell Madison Group, where he consults for media companies on improving legacy businesses as well as making the internet profitable. Prior to MMG, he was a partner at the Boston Consulting Group, where he did some of the firm’s earliest work on the web.

People who “get the web” will explain to you that the economics of the web have everything to do with linking and getting linked to. The more links one can get, the better off one is. Few disagree with that guidepost.

So when the AP and the newspaper owners demanded that they get revenue from the linkers, it was clear that they just didn’t understand the web and didn’t appreciate all the value they were receiving from link traffic. (Here are just a few examples of that critique.)

Well, the data suggests that the web – the “blogosphere”– is less an ecosystem than a one-way street.

The vast majority of the value gets captured by aggregators linking and scraping rather than by the news organizations that get linked and scraped. We did a study of traffic on several sites that aggregate purely a menu of news stories. In all cases, there was at least twice as much traffic on the home page as there were clicks going to the stories that were on it. In other words, a very large share of the people who were visiting the site were merely browsing to read headlines rather than using the aggregation page to decide what they wanted to read in detail. Obviously, this has major ramifications for content creators’ ability to grow ad revenue, as the main benefit of added traffic is the potential for higher CPMs. (Disclosure: I have consulted for the AP and other content creators, though not on this particular issue.)

Even in an absolute best-case scenario for producers of original content, the aggregators get at least as much traffic on linked stories as the creators of those stories because anyone who clicks on the link does so from the aggregator’s site (so each site gets a page view). If you don’t believe the data, consider how often in an average day you visit the home page of your favorite news site vs. how often you click through to the underlying story. 

Actually, it shouldn’t be surprising to anyone who’s thought about how people have historically read a newspaper: They’ve scanned the headlines and then turned to the sports, movie listings or recipe pages, depending on their real interest. As the saying goes, “People don’t check the news to read about the fire, they check it to learn that there wasn’t a fire.”

Historically, the value of those casual browsers was captured by the newspaper because the readers would have to buy a copy.  Now all the value gets captured by the aggregator that scrapes the copy and creates a front page that a set of readers choose to scan. And because creating content costs much more scraping it, there is little rational economic reason to create content.

This is an interesting debate. I wonder if Arnon and others think all aggregators are same or if there are some that actually add value. In other words are all the inbound links the same? More specifically google is the one I am most interested in. If these media people believe in this argument then they should find a way to not be listed on the google index. Then I would say they are walking the walk. That is the acid test for me. Until these media companies do that this argument doesn’t hold water for me.

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