Raja Jasti’s Blog - Renaissance Thinking

October 12, 2009

Golden Triangle

Filed under: Entrepreneurship, Mobile — Raja @ 9:56 am

Fred Wilson writes about the huge opportunity that he calls ‘golden triangle’.


Transito Golden Triangle
Originally uploaded by
dardilrocks.

I heard something this past week that stuck with me all the way to the weekend. To the life of me, I can’t remember who said it but at least I remember what was said:

The three current big megatrends in the web/tech sector are mobile, social, and real-time.

I like to think of this as the golden triangle. You can build interesting businesses in each of these three sectors. The iPhone is the poster child of mobile. Facebook is the poster child of social. Twitter is the poster child of real-time.

But it is what happens inside the golden triangle that is really interesting to me. What if you build a service that is mobile, social, and real-time? Well that’s a big opportunity folks and I’ve been seeing quite a few entrepreneurs doing exactly that. It is an exciting time.

I can see why Fred picked those 3 for his triangle. After all he is an investor in foursquare which combines all these elements. But I think it may be a bit US/Silicon Valley centric. I have a different golden triangle with a more global perspective. Mobile, Commerce, Search. I am using commerce to include banking too. Search is all bout personalized information services.

Mobile commerce finally taking off in the US?

Filed under: Mobile — Raja @ 9:30 am

US leads the world in technology innovation. But one can not say the same when it comes to mobile innovation. You see tremendous innovation is Asia, Europe and even some countries in Africa in mobile services. Things seem to be turning around in the US now thanks to open mobile platforms like iphone and android.

Business Week says mobile commerce may finally be taking off in the US.

Yet, m-commerce may finally be hitting its stride. And some analysts who in recent years became more conservative in their forecasts are now having to make upward revisions. In January, consultant ABI Research projected North American sales of physical goods ordered via cell phone would reach $544 million this year, up from $346 million in 2008. Now, Mark Beccue, senior analyst at ABI, is considering updating his 2009 forecast to $800 million. “I thought hockey-stick growth was going to come in 2010, but it looks like it’s already a hockey stick,” Beccue says. “Next year, it will double again.”

And now, thanks to the growing popularity of smartphones with rich, detailed Web browsers and easy-to-use keyboards, consumers across the country are finally using wireless devices to buy physical items—not just pizzas and sodas, but also books and clothes and the sorts of things typically associated with in-store browsing or online shopping via personal computer. Retailers that make it easy for customers to place mobile orders and purchases stand to gain, assuming they can ensure the security of transactions and information. So do wireless carriers that make Web surfing part of their monthly service bundles—though they need to ensure networks can handle the extra traffic generated by m-commerce.

Much recent m-commerce growth can be traced to eBay (EBAY) and Amazon.com (AMZN), which last year accounted for about 70% of all mobile sales of physical goods. In September, eBay said its iPhone application alone facilitated $380 million in sales this year. The tool lets cell-phone users search and bid on auction items, receive alerts when they are outbid, and to pay for goods via eBay’s iPhone application. At Amazon, which doesn’t release mobile sales figures, phone shopping “is becoming more popular all the time,” says Howard Gefen, director of the Amazon Mobile Payments Service, which lets consumers pay for purchases via mobile.

Other retailers are getting the m-commerce religion, too. By the end of 2009, about half of established retailers may have mobile Web sites, up from less than 20% in 2008, Beccue estimates. “Really, it’s us keeping pace with our customers,” says Mike Dupuis, a vice-president for marketing at apparel retailer American Eagle Outfitters (AEO), which launched its mobile Web site in September. “We believe this is a critical place for us to focus our attention.”

Pet projects

Filed under: Entrepreneurship — Raja @ 8:41 am

Pet projects for small startups can be dangerous. Small startups are resource constrained by nature and a lack of a laser focus can kill them. However, if done right, they can also provide a way to innovate on things that are not core to the main thing the company is working on. They can sometime become the main business as in the case of twitter which was started as a side project at odeo, a podcasting service startup.

GigaOm has an interesting case study on one such pet project that became a profitable line of business for a web design firm.

clustershothomepageWhen Canada’s Silverorange started developing ClusterShot, a web site through which people can upload and sell their photos online, in May of 2008, it was nothing more than a side project members of the 14-person web development firm worked on in the evenings and on weekends. Today the service consumes up to 25 percent of Silverorange’s development time and is profitable.

ClusterShot earns revenue from selling annual Pro subscriptions, which cost $20 and provide users with their own personal photo store. So how did ClusterShot achieve profitability just eight months after it launched last November? I spoke with Silverorange CEO Dan James to learn about the company’s recipe for success.

If there are enough squeaky wheels, maybe you can build a business to provide the grease: The idea for ClusterShot was born when Silverorange employees got fed up with unsuccessfully trying to sell their photos on sites like iStock and Shutterstock. Such sites have strict photo requirements, James explained, which makes it hard for non-professional photographers to get their images added to their inventory. So Silverorange decided to build a site on which anyone could upload and sell any photo they wish.

When it comes to creating a web marketplace, make failure an option: Silverorange didn’t stop focusing on the core of its business — web development — to create ClusterShot, but built it in its spare time and gave it only as much attention as was absolutely necessary. ClusterShot’s success, after all, depends on whether people are willing to pay for photos on the site, so rather than risking everything on a service it didn’t really need to build, the company took a methodical approach.

No one gets it right the first time around, and true entrepreneurs are prepared to readjust: Silverorange made two mistakes with ClusterShot. First, it underestimated the number of photos users were going to import, and was forced to completely rebuild the site’s image processing system within the first month once it was clear that the average new user’s upload time was a full two days. (ClusterShot can now import thousands of images per day; some 350,000 photos currently reside there.) The second mistake was design-related — Silverorange originally used a light background and font color on the site, which didn’t make the photos pop. So it changed the background to a deeper color.

The last point is an important lesson to entrepreneurs. No one gets it right the first time around, and true entrepreneurs are prepared to readjust. Succesful startups understand the core assumptions that drive their business and try to validate them as quickly as possible by tracking the relevant metrics and iterate quickly and often to align the business/product with market reality.

October 11, 2009

Conan O’Brien interviews USB Inventor

Filed under: Entertainment — Raja @ 12:51 am

This is really hilarious stuff:

October 10, 2009

Netflix CEO: Movie DVDs out in two years

Filed under: Entertainment, Internet, Media — Tags: — Raja @ 1:29 pm

Reed Hastings says DVDs will not be the primary delivery format in a couple years.

The days of building your precious DVD collection may be coming to an end sooner than you think. If Netflix CEO Reed Hastings’ comments are any guide, the DVD era may be set to come to a rather abrupt halt.

Specifically, Hastings said in an interview with The Motley Fool website (digested here) that DVD will only be the “primary delivery format” at the company for the next two years, though he did add that it would stick around in some fashion for the next decade or two. That’s a huge pull back from Hastings’ previous prognostication; the Netflix boss had formerly predicted DVD would remain the company’s primary format until as late as 2018.

Strangely, Hastings didn’t note what would supplant DVD as the company’s major movie format, but considering that Blu-ray remains a niche product, with 10 percent penetration or lower among most consumers, he’s probably talking about streaming.

It is only matter of when not if. It will probably a little longer than 2 hours but we will be watching rental movies directly streamed to our TVs.

Disrupting News

Filed under: Internet, Media, Trends — Tags: — Raja @ 1:09 pm

Here is a great story. A 19 year old from the netherlands starts a news aggregation service called Breaking News Online. It is shaking the online media industry.

BNOScreen.jpg 

Michael van Poppel used to be like a lot of young people, trawling the internet for interesting news about the world. Just like many others have considered doing, he created a place where he could post the most interesting news he finds, as fast as he can. Today he’s one of the most-watched movers and shakers in online news media - and he’s not yet twenty years old.In September 2007, when seventeen years old and living in the Netherlands, van Poppel decided to launch a news aggregation business called Breaking News Online. Months later, somehow, he came into possession of a full video of an Osama Bin Laden statement before any of the major news outlets had it, and sold it to Reuters.

That was just the first strange chapter in a very strange story leading up to today, when van Poppel announced plans to release a push iPhone app for his fast-growing Breaking News Online network next month. A 19-year old announced that he would be releasing an iPhone app in a month and many people around the world took pause and noticed. How did this all happen? Asking that question illuminates some of the most interesting trends on the web today.

Paidcontent.org thinks media companies should buy BNO. Now!

The kid from Netherlands is hands down eating everyone’s lunch when it comes to pushing out breaking news first, bar none. He and his team’s news judgement on what’s-really-important is impeccable. The nascent service has lot more Twitter subscribers than almost all big news media companies, except maybe CNN and NYTimes. And now it is generating revenues through the paid iPhone app, and among the first to launch a subscription service on top of the paid app. It has also started syndicating its wire stories to some online pubs. List of its services is here.

Beyond its micro-news service, which essentially is about staying on top of worldwide news reports from other sources—and no small feat, it does that better than anyone—it has also started doing some original reports as well, most recently around the tsunami warnings in New Zealand, if I am remembering it right (it doesn’t archive the stories). And I feel I am a lot more informed about international developments than by reading or getting any other online/U.S. source. Sure, it is not groundbreaking original reporting like NYT or BBC, and it is aggregating third parties, and it gets it wrong sometimes in the quest for speed, but that’s the point of the service. The currency here is speed in a multiplatform environment, followed by news judgement. This is the web native news creature we all have been waiting for.

So Jon Miller, if you haven’t considered this already as part of your news consortium idea, here’s what you should do: e-mail the kid, or call him, catch the next flight to Netherlands, and give him a buyout offer. It will be a lot better way to spend $5 million than the $5 million your company has spent hiring all these new hotshot execs for MySpace…

 

Firing Your Customers

Filed under: Entrepreneurship — Raja @ 12:39 pm

Steve Blank writes about when it makes sense to fire some customers and the right way to go about doing it.

I’ve seen startup CEO’s realize their company could be much more profitable if they could only get rid of some portion of their existing customers. (It’s a natural part of learning about your customers and business model.) But instead of spending the time to move these unprofitable customers politely to some other company, (hopefully a competitor) founders tend to want to do it immediately. “Get it done, now. These customers are idiots and I don’t want them anymore.”

The founder has seen the future and wants to get there immediately. And while technically correct, and eventually the company ought to fire unprofitable customers, the result when done by impatient founders is most often less than optimal.

While it is “just business,” many customers form emotional bonds with products – and sometimes with the company itself. In fact, if you’re doing your job right as a startup, you’re encouraging customers to be passionate about your company and products. When you abruptly break that connection you risk generating hordes of hurt, disappointed - and now disgruntled - customers, who feel jilted and badmouth the company to other potential or existing customers.

If you’ve had taken the time to fire them politely with a bit more panache and patience, they’re likely to break less furniture as they leave. Entrepreneurs overlook that the customers you fire badly are ones who will do damage to your company for a long, long time (even if the impact of their departure is an increase in profitability.)

That is great advice. Not all customers are equal and desirable. You can not please everyone, particualrly so in a consumer business. You need to pick the ones you want to retain and those you want to fire, but do it with care and respect.

Health2.0 startups

Filed under: Mobile, Technology, Trends — Tags: — Raja @ 12:16 pm

Mike Yuan has a review of the most promising startups from the Health2.0 conference.

Perhaps the most important aspect of Health 2.0 is for consumers to take responsibility for their own health, and take proactive actions to live a more healthy life style. Tools that help consumers to change their behavior in this way were featured prominently at the conference. One launch in this category that got quite a bit of fanfare was the beta launch of Keas. Started by Adam Bosworth, who used to run Google Health and of the BEA fame, Keas is a web site that provides personalized wellness/healthcare action plans based on a user’s personal health information, including both self-report questionnaires and medical records. Users can also share information about what treatment works and what doesn’t in self-organized online communities. You can read more about Keas here. While Keas is focused on bringing web 2.0-style health programs to the general public, US Prevention Medicine (USPM) has been selling web-based wellness, disease prevention, and disease management programs to employers for several years. Companies like Keas and USPM provide a clear case for ROI for Health 2.0 — it saves money to motivate consumers to take better care of themselves.

The online platform is arguably not the best tool for gathering the kind of detailed life stream data that truly drives behavior change. After all, few of us would check out our weight/blood glucose/cholesterol trends on a PC before we eat a big meal, and few would log the calories on a PC after that meal. The mobile platform is much better suited for both data gathering and trending. TheCarrot is an iPhone app that tracks a large number of activities in daily life, and they have a sleek web site that will let you plot any two matrix against each other to discover, say, whether exercise triggers your headaches. Polka is another cool iPhone app that manages a mini-PHR right on the iPhone, with the capability to record data streams on the phone and manage the data with a variety of interesting tools they have integrated into their web site.

Mobile is the right platform for health2.0. There no question that health2.0 technologies can provide tremendous benefits to consumers and transform the healthcare landscape. The biggest hurdle is not technical but instituational. Most of the healthcare information is controled by healthcare providers and they are not opening it up anytime soon.

October 8, 2009

Practical Startup Advice from Mint Founder

Filed under: Entrepreneurship — Raja @ 9:24 am

Techcrunch has posted this video of a talk by Aaron Patzer, founder and CEO of Mint.com, a personal finance managemnet service startup founded just 3 years ago which recently was acquired by Intuit for $170M in cash.

I highly recommend this for any aspiring entrepreneur looking for practical advice from the trenches. He takes you through the various stages of the company from the founding to the acquisition. He actually goes over all the details such as salaries and various expenses, equity of early employees, financing etc. It is very rare for anyone to share such info, but is quite useful for first time entrepreneurs.

Mint CEO Aaron Patzer on Startups from Techcrunch on Vimeo.

Here is the presentation deck:


Startup Building 101 -

October 6, 2009

Startup Metrics

Filed under: Entrepreneurship — Raja @ 11:57 am

I am a huge believer in defining and measuring relevant metrics that drive your business. Dave McClure gives this presentation an many startup events around the world that is quite useful for web startups.

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