Raja Jasti’s Blog - Renaissance Thinking

March 30, 2010

Ten Golden Principles of Successful Web Apps

Filed under: Entrepreneurship, Internet — Raja @ 7:38 pm

From Fred Wilson:

1. Speed 2. Instant Utility 3. Voice/Personality 4. Less is More 5. Programmable 6. Personal 7. RESTful (clean URLs for everything) 8. Discoverable (SEO) 9. Clean Look 10. Playful

The 10 Golden Principles of Successful Web Apps from Carsonified on Vimeo.

Cloud 2.0 is about Mobile

Filed under: Internet, Mobile, Technology, Trends — Raja @ 9:35 am

Mark Benioff thinks Apple’s iPad will revolutionize cloud computing.

Cloud 1 ————————————->Cloud 2

Type/Click———————————->Touch
Yahoo/Amazon—————————–>Facebook
Tabs——————————————>Feeds
Chat——————————————>Video
Pull——————————————->Push
Create—————————————->Consume
Location Unknown————————->Location Known
Desktop/notebook————————->Smart phone/Tablet
Windows/Mac——————————>Cocoa/HTML 5

What’s most exciting is that this fundamental transformation—cloud + social + iPad—will inspire a new generation of wildly innovative new apps that will change entire industries. Take health. We have all been waiting for the health application that will revolutionize how we share and communicate with our doctors, and help us make better health care decisions. The apps we have seen as first generation EHR/PHR just have not cut it, and now with ObamaCare there is no killer app to accelerate through the new EHR reimbursement program. The shift ignited by the iPad will allow the proliferation of these new missing apps, and automate the industries and professionals left behind by the last generation of technology. Now, no industry will be left behind.

I think iPad can have a transformative effect on healthcare. Doctors will be carrying an iPad like device to access patient medical records, perform diagnostics, prescribe medication, order lab tests etc. This presents a great opportunity for mobile healthcare.

March 25, 2010

India Web Success Story

Filed under: Entrepreneurship, India, Internet — Raja @ 9:47 am

India, for all the talk of its technology power, is way behind in internet usage. Internet penetration in India is a mere 3%. It is an order of magnitude less than that of China which has 20% penetration. There are just two web companies that have gone public in the history. Imagine, just 2! Both with miniscule market caps. China boasts several much bigger successes that immediately come to my mind: Baidu, Tom Online, Alibaba, Tencent, Sina, Sohu. It is safe to say India’s internet potential is just that. Unrealized potential.

But there are examples of a few companies that show how the successful web companies inIndia may look like.  One of the few successful categories in e-commerce is the online ticketing. One of the most popular e-commerce sites is the one run by Indian Railways, a government organization (go figure that!), that sells train tickets online. I have been a fan a small web company in India called RedBus which is expedia for bus tickets. Many people travel by bus in India and this startup solves a real problem. Sarah Lacy wrote a nice post on this company at Techcrunch.

Silicon Valley and India have a cozy relationship, but a big question has resulted in friction, failed companies and millions in losses: When will the Internet catch on in India in a big way?

A few companies have done well and a few more are coming up, slowly but surely. But there are hardly any true breakout hits.

RedBus is pretty close. It’s essentially an Expedia for bus tickets in India. It sells about 3,500 bus seats per day, is the fourth most-trafficked Web site in India and has at least tripled its revenues year-over-year. The company sells seats for roughly half the bus operators in India, and that’s saying something: This is an insanely fragmented market that had next to zero centralization just a few years ago.  All of this has been built in three years on about $1 million in venture funding. (The company raised another $1.3 million in 2008, but it’s still in the bank. Investors include Helion, Inventus and Seedfund.)

Background for Americans: There are two kinds of buses in India—those that make stops and have ticket-takers on board and that go to one destination only and sell pre-paid tickets only. There are some 3,000 operators of the latter category and, before RedBus, there was no way to contact them directly. To get a bus ticket, you went to an agent. That agent only had inventory from a few bus lines. To book the ticket, he or she would call one person who was in charge of booking every seat on that particular route. There was a long wait time, and frequently the routes the agents knew about were sold out – meaning you had to change your travel plans, or find another agent who had different sources. Meanwhile there was no standardization on pricing and commissions. The agent simply wrote the cost on a piece of paper and if you wanted to ride, you paid it.

Now, RedBus has a central database that gets seats from half of India’s bus operators. It has done so well that it powers the bus ticket applications for most of India’s more general travel sites like MakeMyTrip.com. It also sells an OpenTable-like software-as-a-service product to help bus companies manage their own inventory and better integrate their inventory with RedBus. In terms of seats, it sells less than 1% of the 750,000 rides taken daily, but with several channels and few other easy options, there’s a ton of room to grow a big company.

Sama didn’t set out to build a company. I know that’s a cliché with startups these days, but it’s a rarity in Bangalore where the glamor of being a Web entrepreneur runs high and plenty of TechCrunch-reading kids save up money, quit for a year, try to start a company, and go back to a multinational if it doesn’t hit quickly. When RedBus’s mentor first suggested the company raise $1 million, Sama gasped. He hadn’t even thought in those amounts. His only immediate thought was: “If I had $1 million, I’d put it in the bank and make interest.”

It is a really an interesting read if you want to get an idea of enterpreneurship in India.

Here is a detailed story on the company which traces its beginnings, their struggles and how they solved those challenges.

Says Phani, “I knew there was a need and thought there was a solution, but I wasn’t sure how to make money out of it.” He continues, “At the time we were selected by TiE, there still were a lot of mixed opinions about what our identity should be. Some people thought we should operate a GDS (Global Distribution System) for bus operators, offering a transaction platform and making money by charging for each online transaction. Others said that if we did that, it would take a long time to recoup our investment because the operators weren’t yet technologically savvy enough for a GDS.”

TiE’s veteran advisors spurred the young engineers to resolve the problem by acting instead of relying too much on hypothetical analyses. Phani recounts, “Our mentors were of the opinion that we could start off if we could just solve the first obvious problem we saw, which was on the consumer side. We could launch a Web site and mimic the whole back end, even if it wasn’t automated at all. The first step was to get traction by adding value where that would be easiest. They told us just to go do that, gain recognition, and stand on our own as a business. Then we could move on to other things and worry about automating our operations. The TiE members really helped us take one option and pursue it relentlessly with more confidence.” 

Because the bus operators were not computerized, redBus could not simply tap into their existing systems in order to put seats online. To get around this problem, Phani and his partners adopted an old practice that had long pre-dated computers: block booking. They asked bus operators to reserve some of their inventory until an hour before departure time, just as off-line travel agencies reserve a fraction of a hotel’s rooms in advance. That allowed redBus to offer seats from multiple operators without knowing in real time how full any given bus would be. It also insulated the bus operators from worrying about scaling up IT systems and servers to handle holiday peaks in online traffic.

However, this decision created a classic problem: which came first, the chicken or the egg? Phani and his partners were among the first to ask private operators to allocate seats to them in advance. Once redBus was established as a volume seller of tickets, more operators would be willing to set aside inventory for them. But unless operators could be persuaded to do that, how could the venture build volume?

The only way to overcome this hurdle was through sheer effort and determination. redBus launched its service August 18, 2006 with just one operator on board. Recalls Phani, “I told the operator that we were a group of well-educated entrepreneurs who were experimenting in order to improve the ticketing experience for customers. I said I knew it would work, and asked if he would help us. He said that he would give me one week to show progress or forget it. I knew that during that one week we couldn’t sell tickets on the Internet, since that was too short a time period for a new medium. So I went to bus boarding points in Bangalore, told everyone our story, gave people my card, and said ‘Call me and I’ll get you a seat.’ That’s how we did marketing for the first two months: going to bus stops, giving out cards, and telling people one at a time who we were. Most of the customers pitied us; they figured that a founder was telling them this story, so why not give it a try? A lot of people in the IT sector were able to relate to us.”

March 24, 2010

GigaOm projects the ipad apps market to be $8B in 2015

Filed under: Mobile, Trends — Raja @ 10:12 am

GigaOm reports that ipad is going to kick start at $8B market in 5 years.

Apple, with the iPad, has lit the fuse on an entirely new category of mobile devices: the tablet. Everyone from gamers to developers (even, ostensibly, dead communist leaders) are pondering its possibilities — especially publishers and media barons, who see a savior when it comes to helping readers find, consume and buy media.

At the heart of this opportunity lies the app. With a significant number of the 150,000 apps in Apple’s App Store set to be available on the iPad from day one, the market for paid tablet apps alone is expected to top $8 billion within just five years.

View more presentations from Gigaom.

March 19, 2010

Future of publishing

Filed under: Media, Trends — Raja @ 2:26 pm

Via Michael Hyatt:

March 17, 2010

Mobile apps market to explode to $17.5B by 2012

Filed under: Mobile, Trends — Raja @ 9:22 am

GetJar, a mobile app store company, has done a market study that projects the global mobile apps market to grow to $17.5B by 2012.

The overall mobile apps downloads are expected to increase from over 7 billion in 2009 to almost 50 billion by 2012 growing at the rate of 92% CAGR. The revenue from mobile apps which includes both paid downloads and revenue from advertising and virtual goods is expected to increase from $4.1 billion in 2009 to $17.5 billion by 2012 at the rate of 62% CAGR. Though ondeck (operator managed) mobile apps sales exceeded those from offdeck in 2009, by 2012, offdeck is expected to hold the lion share of the mobile apps revenue.

Here is a video and a slide presentation.

Mobile App Stores: A Closer Look from Plugg Conference on Vimeo.

2010 Mar - App Economy - GetJar - Plugg 2010 Brussels

March 15, 2010

Fandango launches mobile tickets

Filed under: Entertainment, Mobile — Raja @ 9:50 am

Mobile ticketing seems to be gaining momentum in the US. In India this is already very popular with services such as bookmyshow. Fandango is rolling out mobile tickets.

Waiting in line for movie tickets is still the worst part of going to the movies (unless you are going to see The Bounty Hunter). With so many mobile phone movie apps, it’s easy to find what’s playing at nearby theaters and even purchase tickets right from your mobile phone, but then you still have to get a paper ticket from the dispenser or the ticket agent. But your ticket could easily be delivered to your mobile phone via a 2D barcode.

Today, Fandango is launching a mobile ticket program in eight cities which lets moviegoers finally go paperless. Your ticket is delivered to your mobile phone via an SMS or MMS message linked to a 2D barcode, which the ticket-takers can scan. Movie theaters need to equip their attendees with special scanners, which is why it is only available in a few markets. (MovieTickets.com is testing a similar program).

March 14, 2010

Innovation from Africa: Ushahidi

Filed under: Mobile — Raja @ 7:20 pm

Imagine reporting any incident to the world using SMS. That is the idea behind Ushahidi, a SMS alerts system from Kenya.

Could wiki technology find Osama bin Laden?

Imagine if any Pakistani could send an anonymous text message to the authorities suggesting where to look. Each location could be plotted on a map. The dots would be scattered widely, perhaps, with promising leads indistinguishable from rubbish. But on a given day, a surge of dots might point to the same village, in what could not be coincidence. Troops could be ordered in.

This kind of everyone-as-informant mapping is shaking up the world, bringing the Wikipedia revolution to the work of humanitarians and soldiers who parachute into places with little good information. And an important force behind this upheaval is a small Kenyan-born organization called Ushahidi, which has become a hero of the Haitian and Chilean earthquakes and which may have something larger to tell us about the future of humanitarianism, innovation and the nature of what we label as truth.

After Kenya’s disputed election in 2007, violence erupted. A prominent Kenyan lawyer and blogger, Ory Okolloh, who was based in South Africa but had gone back to Kenya to vote and observe the election, received threats about her work and returned to South Africa. She posted online the idea of an Internet mapping tool to allow people anonymously to report violence and other misdeeds. Technology whizzes saw her post and built the Ushahidi Web platform over a long weekend.

The site collected user-generated cellphone reports of riots, stranded refugees, rapes and deaths and plotted them on a map, using the locations given by informants. It collected more testimony — which is what ushahidi means in Swahili — with greater rapidity than any reporter or election monitor.

When the Haitian earthquake struck, Ushahidi went again into action. An emergency texting number was advertised via radio. Ushahidi received thousands of messages reporting trapped victims. They were translated by a diffuse army of Haitian-Americans in the United States and plotted on a “crisis map.” From a situation room at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy in Medford, outside Boston, Ushahidi volunteers instant-messaged with the United States Coast Guard in Haiti, telling them where to search. When the Chilean earthquake struck, Ushahidi deployed again.

A lot of things could go wrong with this model. People could lie, get the address wrong, exaggerate their situation. But as data collects, crisis maps can reveal underlying patterns of reality: How many miles inland did the hurricane kill? Are the rapes broadly dispersed or concentrated near military barracks?

Ushahidi suggests a new paradigm in humanitarian work. The old paradigm was one-to-many: foreign journalists and aid workers jet in, report on a calamity and dispense aid with whatever data they have. The new paradigm is many-to-many-to-many: victims supply on-the-ground data; a self-organizing mob of global volunteers translates text messages and helps to orchestrate relief; journalists and aid workers use the data to target the response.

Ushahidi also represents a new frontier of innovation. Silicon Valley has been the reigning paradigm of innovation, with its universities, financiers, mentors, immigrants and robust patents. Ushahidi comes from another world, in which entrepreneurship is born of hardship and innovators focus on doing more with less, rather than on selling you new and improved stuff.

Because Ushahidi originated in crisis, no one tried to patent and monopolize it. Because Kenya is poor, with computers out of reach for many, Ushahidi made its system work on cellphones. Because Ushahidi had no venture-capital backing, it used open-source software and was thus free to let others remix its tool for new projects.

Ushahidi remixes have been used in India to monitor elections; in Africa to report medicine shortages; in the Middle East to collect reports of wartime violence; and in Washington, D.C., where The Washington Post partnered to build a site to map road blockages and the location of available snowplows and blowers.

Think about that. The capital of the sole superpower is deluged with snow, and to whom does its local newspaper turn to help dig out? Kenya.

March 13, 2010

Apple and Google battle for the future

Filed under: Business, Mobile — Raja @ 5:26 pm

Mobile is the future. Google and Apple know it and a battle royale is brewing.

Apple sees Android phones like the Motorola Droid, right, as iPhone clones. Google says some prototypes predate the iPhone, left.

IT looked like the beginning of a beautiful friendship.

Three years ago, Eric E. Schmidt, the chief executive of Google, jogged onto a San Francisco stage to shake hands with Steven P. Jobs, Apple’s co-founder, to help him unveil a transformational wonder gadget — the iPhone — before throngs of journalists and adoring fans at the annual MacWorld Expo.

Google and Apple had worked together to bring Google’s search and mapping services to the iPhone, the executives told the audience, and Mr. Schmidt joked that the collaboration was so close that the two men should simply merge their companies and call them “AppleGoo.”

“Steve, my congratulations to you,” Mr. Schmidt told his corporate ally. “This product is going to be hot.” Mr. Jobs acknowledged the compliment with an ear-to-ear smile.

Today, such warmth is in short supply. Mr. Jobs, Mr. Schmidt and their companies are now engaged in a gritty battle royale over the future and shape of mobile computing and cellphones, with implications that are reverberating across the digital landscape.

In the last six months, Apple and Google have jousted over acquisitions, patents, directors, advisers and iPhone applications. Mr. Jobs and Mr. Schmidt have taken shots at each other’s companies in the media and in private exchanges with employees.

This month, Apple sued HTC, the Taiwanese maker of mobile phones that run Google’s Android operating system, contending that HTC had violated iPhone patents. The move was widely seen as the beginning of a legal assault by Apple on Google itself, as well as an attempt to slow Google’s plans to extend its dominion to mobile devices.

Apple believes that devices like smartphones and tablets should have tightly controlled, proprietary standards and that customers should take advantage of services on those gadgets with applications downloaded from Apple’s own App Store.

Google, on the other hand, wants smartphones to have open, nonproprietary platforms so users can freely roam the Web for apps that work on many devices. Google has long feared that rivals like Microsoft or Apple or wireless carriers like Verizon could block access to its services on devices like smartphones, which could soon eclipse computers as the primary gateway to the Web. Google’s promotion of Android is, essentially, an effort to control its destiny in the mobile world.

While the discord between Apple and Google is in part philosophical and involves enormous financial stakes, the battle also has deeply personal overtones and echoes the ego-fueled fisticuffs that have long characterized technology industry feuds. (Think Intel vs. A.M.D., Microsoft vs. everybody, and so on.)

Yet according to interviews with two dozen industry watchers, Silicon Valley investors and current and former employees at both companies — most of whom requested anonymity to protect their jobs or business relationships — the clash between Mr. Schmidt and Mr. Jobs offers an unusually vivid display of enmity and ambition.

This competition is good for the ecosystem.

Then a wrestling match began on the acquisition front.

Last fall, Apple made a formal bid to acquire AdMob, a rapidly growing mobile advertising company, for $600 million. AdMob specializes in developing ads that run inside mobile phone applications, like those on the iPhone.

While Apple conducted due diligence on the deal, AdMob agreed to a 45-day “no shop” provision, a routine clause that prevented the start-up from offering itself for sale to others, according to three people briefed on the negotiations. But after Apple inexplicably let 45 days pass without consummating its offer, Google pounced.

Their interest piqued by Apple’s pursuit of the start-up, Mr. Schmidt, along with Mr. Page, Mr. Brin and other Google executives, began intensely courting Omar Hamoui, AdMob’s young chief executive. AdMob, the Google guys argued, belonged in their corporate family because Google — unlike Apple — was an old pro in advertising. They also promised that AdMob employees would be able to cash out stock options sooner than Apple’s deal would have allowed. It also didn’t hurt that Google was willing to pay a 25 percent premium over Apple’s offer.

Three days after the no-shop provision expired, Google agreed to buy AdMob — putting a whopping $750 million price tag on a four-year-old company with modest revenue. Jilted and angry, Mr. Jobs speculated that AdMob might have violated its legal obligations, with help from Google, according to two people briefed on the fallout from the negotiations.

(Neither AdMob nor Google would comment on any aspect of the process. The acquisition is being reviewed by the Federal Trade Commission for possible antitrust problems.)

One executive familiar with Google’s acquisitions strategy said the company was willing to pay a large premium for AdMob simply to keep the company out of Apple’s arms. “There is no way AdMob would have gotten $750 million if he wasn’t worried that it would end up in the hands of Steve,” the executive said. “Are they going to get $750 million in cash flow back? No way.”

March 12, 2010

Bubbly, twitter of voice?

Filed under: Media, Mobile, Trends — Raja @ 3:03 pm

bubble Motion, the voice SMS developer is trying to do be the twitter of voice messaging with bubbly.

NEW YORK (AdAge.com) — In India, thousands of consumers are going from tweeting to bubbling.

Bollywood stars Kareena Kapoor and Aamir Khan began using Bubbly and talking about it ahead of the premiere of their hit film 'Three Idiots.'
Bollywood stars Kareena Kapoor and Aamir Khan began using Bubbly and talking about it ahead of the premiere of their hit film ‘Three Idiots.’

A hot new social-networking service dubbed Bubbly, which is essentially a voice-based Twitter, is quickly gaining popularity among Indians. And thanks to Bollywood celebs being early adopters, Bubbly is growing virally and with virtually zero marketing spend.

Bubbly is the brainchild of 5-year-old mobile and social app firm Bubble Motion, which is based in Silicon Valley and Singapore. Its first product was BubbleTalk, a person-to-person voice-messaging service that, instead of SMS, sends mobile audio messages and has about 100 million users now.

According to Bubble Motion’s CEO Tom Clayton, after devoting time to BubbleTalk and other mobile voice-messaging services, “along came the social-media boom and we started to play with a lot of social-media applications.” That led to the idea of audio messages going not just to one person, but to a much larger audience of followers.

In rolling out Bubbly, Mr. Clayton plans to skip North America and Europe and focus on fast-growing, mobile-savvy markets such as India, Japan and Brazil.

Here’s how Bubbly works: Anyone can sign up to follow a friend, family member or favorite celebrity or brand. Posting messages and following is free, and once a new message has been recorded and sent out, users get an alert. If they choose to listen, they pay for the airtime.

Most messages are less than 30 seconds long, and there is currently a cap of one minute.

To post on Bubbly, a user dials a short code, like *7, records a message and hangs up. To listen, tap in another code, like *2. It works on any handheld device, and messages can be posted to Bubbly while still withholding phone numbers for privacy.

Bubbly hasn’t launched officially, but the service saw an estimated 500,000 users in about four weeks after some of Bollywood’s biggest stars started using it, including Aamir Khan and Kareena Kapoor, who were talking about it ahead of the premiere of their hit film “Three Idiots” (which recently swept India’s Filmfare Awards). “It’s personal and it’s easier for a celeb” to connect with their fans using Bubbly rather than a web-based service in which an agent or PR firm might be writing messages, said Mr. Clayton.

Media networks in India are showing signs of interest too; the first major media brand to sign on there is the BBC, which is experimenting with the service as a way of disseminating breaking news. And other networks are in talks to potentially follow suit.

Bubbly’s business model is based on its revenue-sharing partnerships with telecoms. In India, that includes two giants, Reliance Communications and Bharti Airtel.

In a country where many have access to cellphones but far fewer to the web, this type of mobile blogging service seems to make sense. By some estimates, India has the fastest-growing population of mobile phone users in the world as cellphone operators add millions of new customers each month. By 2012, India may have 650 million cellphone users.

To use Bubbly for brand engagement and promotion, a celebrity spokesperson could record messages about brands or send a “bubble” from the set of a forthcoming movie to build buzz. Brands themselves can also bubble short radio-like ads over cellphones, although it’s up to users to opt in.

Bubbly has been beta-tested in places such as Egypt, where BMW bubbled a promotion to visitors to a retail location, and Citigroup used it to send out ads and Vodafone to deliver the latest ringtone.

But Mr. Clayton said Bubbly is targeting five major global markets — India, Japan, the Philippines, Indonesia and Brazil — because they all offer large, mobile-savvy populations whose telecoms and cellphone users are “also open to cool, new innovative stuff.” A web component may have a role in the launch of Bubbly in Japan, but in most markets the focus will remain on a mobile-only version of Bubbly for now.

In countries such as India this actually could fly.

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