Raja Jasti’s Blog - Renaissance Thinking

November 9, 2010

Is Google a Monopoly?

Filed under: Internet, Technology, Trends — Raja @ 4:37 pm

Google may not satisfy the strict definition of monopoly when it comes to search. But the market behavior indicates the strong monopolistic advantages that Google holds in search and the almost non-existent odds for the competitors (anyone outside of the deep pocketed Microsoft) to succeed in this market. Cases in point: #2 search company getting out of search business (Yahoo selling out to #3 search company in MS); Now ask.com (#4 provider) is throwing in the towel too.

BOSTON (Reuters) - Internet mogul Barry Diller has ended his IAC/InterActiveCorp’s quest to develop Internet search technology to rival that of Google Inc and Microsoft Corp.

IAC’s Ask.com unit said on Tuesday it has decided to buy its Web search results from one of its rivals, but it declined to say which one, citing a clause in the contract.

Ask will lay off 130 engineers who had been dedicated to building the search engine, and also get rid of thousands of computer servers that stored billions of pages of data.

“The development of search as a technology has become commoditized. To continue to invest our own resources to do web search doesn’t make sense because that development is expensive and doesn’t give you a differentiated product,” Ask President Doug Leeds said by telephone.

The move by Ask, a unit of IAC whose revenue has helped IAC post stronger-than-expected profit in its two most recent quarters — leaves only two key providers of search results: Google and Microsoft. Yahoo withdrew from the business last year when it signed a deal to get its results from Microsoft’s Bing engine. Leeds would not say if Ask was getting its results from either of those companies.

There are some new companies such as Blekko trying to take a crack at competing against Google. But the odds are stacked against the newcomers. This is bad news for innovation in search.

November 8, 2010

RockMelt Social Browser

Filed under: Internet, Technology, Trends — Raja @ 3:41 pm

RockMelt is a new browser that  integrates social and search layers to the web browsing experience.

On Monday, RockMelt, a company founded and financed by a group of Netscape alumni, will release a new Web browser, 16 years after Netscape introduced the first commercial Internet browser, and 12 years after the company was sold to AOL after its defeat by Microsoft in the so-called browser wars.

“We think it is a fantastic time to build a company around a browser,” said Marc Andreessen, who co-founded Netscape, and whose venture capital firm, Andreessen Horowitz, is the principal financial backer of RockMelt.

Although most people spend more time using their Web browser than any other program on their computers, most browsers have not kept up with the evolution of the Web into a social media hub, Mr. Andreessen said. He and Mr. Campbell, a former Netscape board member who is advising the new company as well as investing in it, say RockMelt is a browser for the Facebook era.

At first glance, RockMelt looks like an ordinary browser, a digital windowpane onto the Web. But along the side of its main window are two thin rails with icons, one showing a user’s friends on the left, and another displaying a user’s favorite social sites, including Twitter and Facebook, on the right.

A “share” button makes it easy to post a Web page, a YouTube video or any other items, to Facebook, Twitter or other sites. Similarly, users can update their status or keep tabs on their friends’ activities on any social network right on their main browser window. They can also easily add and remove friends, or chat with them, on the left-side rail.

When a user searches the Web using Google, RockMelt not only delivers the Google search results, but also fetches the pages associated with those results, so a user can preview those pages quickly and decide which to click to.

“Had we known about Facebook and Twitter and Google back in ’92 or ’93, we would have built them into the browser,” Mr. Andreessen said, referring to Netscape. “This is an opportunity to go back and do it right.”

Like other browsers, RockMelt will be free, and like the popular open-source browser Firefox, it plans to make money by earning a share of the revenue from Web searches conducted by its users.

For all its modern features, the challenges facing RockMelt, which is inviting users to try a test version on Monday, are enormous. The browser market has become intensely competitive in recent years and is dominated by giants like Microsoft, Apple and Google, as well as Mozilla, which makes Firefox.

“Getting heard above the noise is going to be hard,” said David B. Yoffie, a professor at the Harvard Business School and the co-author of “Competing on Internet Time,” a book that chronicled the battle between Netscape and Microsoft.

RockMelt is built on top of Chrome, Google’s open source browser which itself is having a difficult time gaining meaningful market share.

They are betting web surfing going social just as similar bets on TV watching experience.

While the concept sounds intriguing to me, my gut feeling is that this is going in the wrong direction. The market need  is for simpler, faster and more secure browsing experience. This looks too bloated from the looks of it. Their best bet is targeting heavy users of social media as the beach head and go from there.

Here is the TechCrunch interview video of RockMelt’s founders:

October 26, 2010

Zynga overtakes EA in market value

Filed under: Entertainment, Internet, Mobile — Raja @ 11:16 am

Social gaming is the future of gaming. Evidence? Zynga surpasses EA in market value.

Oct. 26 (Bloomberg) — Zynga Game Network Inc.’s estimated worth surpassed Electronic Arts Inc.’s stock-market value, a sign of the ascendance of social-networking entertainment at the expense of traditional video games.

Zynga, the maker of such games as “FarmVille” and “FrontierVille,” is valued at $5.51 billion, according to SharesPost Inc., an exchange for shares of privately held companies. Electronic Arts, the second-largest game publisher by sales, is worth $5.16 billion on the Nasdaq Stock Market.

“The valuation is not that crazy, given what’s going on in the market,” said Atul Bagga, an analyst at ThinkEquity LLC in San Francisco, who estimates the virtual goods market may reach $3.6 billion in three years. “It’s not that terribly expensive seeing the growth prospects.”

Electronic Arts, meanwhile, faces declining retail sales of gaming hardware and software. More consumers would rather play games within their social networks, rather than heading to a store to buy a shrink-wrapped program. That’s forced Electronic Arts to cut jobs and seek acquisitions for growth. Before today, its shares had dropped 7.4 percent since March 1. Zynga’s estimated value has more than doubled in that timeframe.

This is a bit of apples and oranges comparison. As Zynga is not yet a public company, so its value is derived from its share price in private markets.

This is bit reminiscent of dot com days, so we need to be cautious but the trend is pretty clear. Unlike dot com companies social gaming is making real of money. Lots of it and growing very fast.

Social gaming is going mobile, so we are still in  early days. There will be other huge players in this market.

October 22, 2010

Kleiner Perkins bets big on Social with sFund

Filed under: Business, Internet, Mobile, Technology, Trends — Raja @ 10:33 am

John Doerr announces a new fund around social called sFund. He sees the next wave around social, mobile, cloud and commerce.

Here is Bing Gordon talking about the social wave growing 10x to 25x by 2015..

October 3, 2010

Quora

Filed under: Entertainment, Internet — Raja @ 6:59 pm

I love the idea behind Quora. It is a web service that is trying to capture and codify all the knowledge in people’s heads.

It is the first killer app I have seen working for semantic web.

September 28, 2010

Virtual Goods to grow 40% by next year

Filed under: Internet, Trends — Tags: , — Raja @ 6:36 pm

Bing Gordon, Zynga board member, said social gaming is 4 gaming disruptions rolled into one. 1. social 2. analytics driven 3. APIable web/app economy 4. alternative payments (virtual goods). Now wonder social gaming is exploding.

Here is an example of the growth. Virtual goods market is expected to grow by 40% by next year continuing its impressive growth over the last 3 years. This is how it looks:

AOL Buys Techcrunch

Filed under: Internet, Media, Technology — Raja @ 8:47 am

Tim Armstrong (AOL CEO) and Heather Harde (CEO TC) and Mike Arrington (TC founder) signed the deal on stage at TC Disrupt. Terms were not disclosed. Mike says he can see staying with AOL for at least 3 years. Congrats TC!

September 26, 2010

Security Impedes Web2.0 in the Enterprise

Filed under: Business, Internet, Technology — Raja @ 10:28 pm

McAfee did a survey on the impact of Security on the adoption of web2.0 in the enterprise. Here are some findings:

Those businesses agree that Web 2.0 technologies — such as social media, microblogging services such as Twitter, collaborative platforms, web mail, and content sharing tools — can drive revenue. But more than 60 percent of corporations said they suffered losses averaging $2 million due to security problems. Some 60 percent also said they were concerned about damage to their reputation as a result of Web 2.0 misuse.

Brazil, Spain and India led in adoption of Web 2.0 technology for business, while adoption was lowest in Canada, Australia, the United States and the United Kingdom.

“Web 2.0 technologies are impacting all aspects of the way businesses work,” said George Kurtz, chief technology officer for McAfee. “As Web 2.0 technologies gain popularity, organizations are faced with a choice – they can allow them to propagate unchecked, they can block them, or they can embrace them and the benefits they provide while managing them in a secure way.”

About 75 percent of the companies said that adoption of Web 2.0 technologies led to new revenue streams, while 40 percent said the tools have boosted productivity and enhanced marketing effectiveness.

The top perceived threats of Web 2.0 usage by employees are malicious software (35 percent were concerned about it), viruses (15 percent), overexposure of information (11 percent) and spyware (10 percent). About 14 percent reported litigation or legal threats caused by employees disclosing confidential or sensitive information.

About 13 percent of businesses block all Web 2.0 activity, while 81 percent restrict its use because of security concerns. About one third say they do not have a social media policy in place. Just 25 percent monitor social media usage by staff.

McAfee is not exactly a neutral party, but the the survey has some interesting data. Enterprise is the next frontier for web2.0 technologies and social media. Think social networking (facebook), micro blogging (twitter), Q&A (quora), LBS (foursquare) etc for the enterprise. There are some really interesting start ups working in this area such as yammer, opzi, asana etc. Enterprise software vendors are also doing some interesting things in this space. Expect to see a lot of innovation in this space over the next couple of years,

September 25, 2010

Zynga buys HTML5 game engine maker Dextrose

Filed under: Internet, Mobile, Technology, Trends — Tags: — Raja @ 10:27 am

Zynga continues its acquisition spree by buying Dextrose, German maker of HTML5 based game development platform.

Zynga has announced its latest acquisition today, the German company Dextrose AG, which released a development platform called the Aves Engine earlier this year.

The news hasn’t been widely commented on yet, but this could turn out to be one of Zynga’s most important acqusitions. Aves is an HTML5 engine designed for high-end 2D and 2.5D graphics.

Since it’s in HTML5, Aves can run on both the web and on mobile devices browsers, like the iPhone’s Safari. More than just a potential tweak to Zynga’s Facebook games, the Dextrose buyout means Zynga could potentially develop a new game simultaneously for both web and mobile.

With FarmVille and its other apps on the iPhone, Zynga hasn’t done spectacularly well, but that’s probably in part due to the higher graphics expectations of mobile users. The Aves Engine hasn’t been widely used, so we’re not sure of its full capabilities. But Zynga probably wouldn’t have bought the company if it weren’t impressed by Aves’ graphical capabilities.

September 21, 2010

Six Apart Acquired by VideoEgg

Filed under: Business, Internet, Media — Raja @ 5:30 pm

If you are an early blogger, you know Six Apart well. They are one of the early pioneers of blogging software with their Movaeble Type and Typepad products. Today they are acquired by VideoEgg, started as a YouTube wannabe, but later pivoted to become an ad network. As GigaOm aptly puts it, it is the end of an era (somewhat like Netscape being acquired by AOL, but at a much smaller scale).

After denying rumors of a deal over the past several weeks, blogging platform Six Apart and advertising network VideoEgg have confirmed they are merging to create a new social-media company called SAY Media. Chris Alden, CEO of SixApart, is stepping down, and VideoEgg CEO Matt Sanchez will become the CEO of the combined company once the deal closes in several months. Although the two companies say Six Apart’s existing Moveable Type and Typepad businesses will continue, the deal effectively means the end of the company — one of the early pioneers of the blogging world — as a standalone entity.

For some early blogging fans, watching Six Apart get more or less absorbed by an advertising network is likely to be a painful sight. The company, led by husband-and-wife team Ben and Mena Trott, was one of the pioneers of blogging almost a decade ago (the name came from the six-day difference in age between the two founders). Along with Blogger, which was founded by Twitter CEO Ev Williams and later sold to Google, the two software platforms from Six Apart — Moveable Type and Typepad — were used by hundreds of thousands of early bloggers.

Perhaps it’s true that in a day when Huffington Post and other digital-media giants rule the web, blogging has to grow up. But for some, this deal is going to look like the end of an era.

So long Six Apart.

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