Raja Jasti’s Blog - Renaissance Thinking

March 2, 2009

Music 2.0

The music industry is in the midst of reinventing itself in the face of tectonic shifts brought about by the impact of open web, broadband, social networking and mobile techonlogies.

Napster, the first major music sharing service, started it all. Its quick rise and subsequent demise offers many lessons to industry execs and entrepreneurs alike. In hindsight, it is clear to me that the music industry would have been better off trying to leverage Napster rather than kill it. Through napster customers were clearly signalling the need for a frictionless way to acquire, listen to and share music. But the music industry execs chose to ignore these signals and instead focused on protecting the old way of controlling distribution by using the legal means to kill napster. They surely succeeded in killing napster, but failed in controlling distribution. You can not fight nature.

Steve Jobs surely paid attention to these signals of customers and created the itunes music store which made it very easy to acquire and listen to music. Ironically, the music industry which was trying hard to retain control unwittingly handed it to Steve Jobs. But despite its success, itunes is not about the open web. its more about controlling the user experience.

There are many services that leverage the open web to make it easy to discover, experience and share music. Here are some categories that have emerged over the last few years.

Music stores:

These are places  where you can purchase music (such as itunes) or subscribe to music (such as rhapsody). A new startup called lala.com is trying a new business model where you can purchase a song stored in the cloud (they call it web song) for 10c, where you can listen to it on their website.

Myspace, a popular social network,  launched its own music store called Myspace Music. Facebook is rumored to be looking to offer their own music store.

Music recommendation sites:

These sites (such as last.fm and pandora) help you discover new music by recommendations based on the music you listen to.

Music Social Networks:

Imeem is an example of music social networking built around legal sharing of music with your friends. It offers free ad supported streaming of music.

There are pouplar music sharing social networking apps such as ilike that allow facebook and myspace users to share music with their friends.

Music Blogging:

Hypemachine tracks all the music blogs and lets you listen to the songs being discussed.

Music playlists:

Muxtape was a popular site that allowed you create the webversion of a tape mix and share them with your freinds. It was shutdown because of legal pressure from RIAA. 8tracks is another site offering a similar functionality.

As you can see there is a lot of innovation taking place where the web meets music. Music industry should leverage this innovation in stead of feeling threatened by it. Their survival depends on it.

February 17, 2009

Twitter better for businesses than LinkedIn?

Filed under: Internet, Trends — Tags: , — Raja @ 12:34 pm

Techcrunch reports:

if you ask, which one would they recommend for businesses to pay for (if they had to), Twitter beats Facebook by more than two to one (39.6 percent vs. 15.3 percent). LinkedIn again comes in second. Why did Twitter come out on top. It is seen as an efficient way for companies to get their marketing messages out there.

I find it interesting that twitter beats out linkedin in the survey. This tells me that twitter is used mostly by professionals at this point of time and has a better engagement rate than linkedin.

February 7, 2009

Can facebook outtwitter twitter?

Filed under: Internet, Mobile, Technology — Tags: , — Raja @ 2:27 pm

Facebook today announced opening up status, notes, links and videos to facebook platform. This is consistent with their strategy of using the openness to change the game to c0mpete against established leaders. It offered facebook platform to one up myspace and now it wants to une up twitter by opening up status updates.

Some people think this will kill twitter, while some others think it will not.

What do I think? I don’t think any outside company can kill twitter. Twitter is synonymous with status updates. You don’t update your status. You twitter. I am with fred wilson that sharing status updates is big. I say twittering is big.

February 1, 2009

New business model for social nets?

Filed under: Business, Internet, Technology — Tags: — Raja @ 6:34 pm

Facebook seems to think it may have found a good business model.

“Facebook is planning to exploit the vast amount of personal information it holds on its 150m members by creating one of the world’s largest market research databases.

In an attempt to finally monetise the social networking site, once valued at $15bn (£10.4bn), it will soon allow multinational companies to selectively target its members in order to research the appeal of new products. Companies will be able to pose questions to specially selected members based on such intimate details as whether they are single or married and even whether they are gay or straight. “

I think this poses some important privacy questions (just as in their ill-fated beacon program), but the value proposition to companies is pretty strong: save money and time for market research on new products. So facebook is offering platform for online focus groups. One problem I see is that these polls are glorified ads and do not add much value to the users. It is not a win win situation as in the case of search keyword advertising. So jury is still out on this. I am sure google is paying attention to this development.

January 25, 2009

Twitter’s upside

Filed under: Internet, Mobile, Technology — Tags: , — Raja @ 1:58 pm

I find the story of twitter quite fascinating. It was developed as a side project inside odeo, a failed podcasting startup founded by evan williams, who earlier founded blogger which he sold to google. The founders of odeo thought there may be something in twitter and spun it off as a separate company. Odeo, despite the hype it generated, never quite took off and its assets were later sold to sonic mountain for pennies on a dollar. But twitter, odeo’s accidental offspring, spread like wild fire.

That is the beauty of life. You can try to plan/design for success but it is not guaranteed to anyone. Most often it happens when you least expect it (see slumdog millionaire).

The basic premise of twitter is simple. It allows people to answer the question ‘what are you doing now?’ in 140 characters or less and  share these updates with their friends (called followers).

This is an example of a service that is not quite easy to explain to mainstream people why they need it. Tivo was also difficult to explain why everyone needs it. You only appreciate it once you start using it. Even now, twitter is mainly used by tech savvy crowd. But I can see it being potentially useful for everyone. It is a very unique communication tool with its own dynamics. If it can cross the chasm and become mainstream remains to be seen.

The question that keeps coming to my mind is how big can twitter be as a company? What is its upside? Can it be as big as facebook? or google?

I don’t see how it can be another google. But comparison with facebook is more interesting. For one thing, both are attracting a lot of hype among tech circles despite not yet having a sustainable business model to effectively monetize their fast growing user base. Facebook has already cross the chasm and famously raised investment from microsoft and others at a whopping valuation of $15B (that is a B not M). Twitter is apparently close to raising a new financing round at $250M valuation, even in this down market. So clearly twitter is no facebook, based on the current indicators.

But does twitter have the potential to be as big as facebook? I know some people who think so. What do I think? I like that twitter has the mobile aspect to it. If it can succeed in riding the mobile growth to cross the chasm, then I can see it getting to similar size in terms of users. That is a big if though. Then there is the monetization question.  Communication services such as  web mail and IM have been around for a while now but they are not big money makers. Can twitter crack the code of monetization? That is the billion dollar question.

I think there is another intersting angle to this. Facebook tried to buy twitter, unsuccessfully, for $500M in a stock deal.  Facebook obviously sees twitter as complementary (facebook already offers a similar feature). I am glad the deal didn’t go through. I want to see twitter evolve as an independent company to see where this concept can be taken. That wouldn’t have happened if it became a part of facebook.

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