Raja Jasti’s Blog - Renaissance Thinking

June 2, 2009

Non-ad Business Model Case Study: Redfin

Filed under: Business, Internet — Tags: — Raja @ 10:46 am

From NYT:

Glenn Kelman, CEO of Redfin, an online real estate brokerage

There has been a lot of debate lately among Web entrepreneurs about online ads. As growth in online ad spending shrinks, ad-based start-ups are searching for new revenue streams and Twitter is explaining why it does not run ads.

Glenn Kelman, chief executive of Redfin, an online real estate brokerage, contends that Web start-ups that do not carry ads are forced to excel at certain things that are essential to Silicon Valley’s promise, like developing software that solves users’ problems and upending the way certain industries run.

Redfin lists homes for sale. Buyers can browse the listings and make bids online. Redfin agents help negotiate with the seller, then share the commission with the buyers. The company does not put ads on its pages in part because it competes with Realtors, its most obvious source of advertising, Mr. Kelman said.

Silicon Valley once had a “swashbuckling attitude that we were going to change every industry and make it more efficient,” he said. “Once you become more like Madison Avenue, you become acutely sensitive to what’s going to annoy your clients.”

When engineers need to figure out how to guide a visitor through a Web site to make a transaction — in Redfin’s case, to make an offer on a house — it presents a different type of challenge than amusing a visitor for a minute or two to sell an ad. “It’s 30 hoops, and if they don’t jump through the 30th hoop, we make zero from them, whereas other Web sites, as soon as you land, they’re starting to make money,” Mr. Kelman said.

Selling online ads can be a hugely successful business, of course, and as a result, venture capitalists have been particularly excited about ad-based businesses for the last several years. When Redfin raised venture capital several years ago, Mr. Kelman said, “it was a little bit like being in the twilight zone, just because everyone expected us to have a different revenue model.”

Lately, he has noticed a shift in thinking. Today, he said, Redfin’s business model is often seen as an asset instead of a flaw, because the tech world is more open to alternative Web business models.

Apple’s iPhone App Store, which charges small fees for some applications, has helped prompt this shift, he said. “Steve Jobs knows how to hold his hand out, to build beautiful products and make people pay for them,” Mr. Kelman said. “That’s really coming back into vogue.”

But can Redfin’s philosophy pay off? It does not make money on the vast majority of visitors to its site. Mr. Kelman said that Redfin earned an average of $7,500 per client, but that only 100 to 200 visitors out of every million ended up becoming clients.

Redfin is not yet profitable, but Mr. Kelman said he suspected that it had more revenue and was closer to profitability than it would be if it were relying solely on ads for revenue. “The number of people who have to visit for $1 million in revenue is less than if we were ad-based,” he said.

May 14, 2009

Zillow

Filed under: Internet — Tags: — Raja @ 10:05 am

CNET checks in with Zillow CEO Rich Barton.

Rich Barton builds cheap sites that focus on expensive audiences.

(Credit: Rafe Needleman/CNET)

“Things are very good at Zillow,” Rich Barton, CEO of the online real estate company, was telling me. We’re in the thick of the worst economic crisis of a generation and a depressed real estate market, so this means that Barton is either a very clever CEO or an audacious liar. I was at first inclined to believe the latter, but left the interview convinced of the former. He’s a canny Web entrepreneur.

It hasn’t all been smooth sailing for Zillow. In October, Barton laid off about 25 percent of Zillow’s staff. He said he did it because he “couldn’t forecast” his business and had to assume the worst scenario. However, the trough following the 2008 bust ended up not being as bad as he thought it was going to be for Zillow, and the company is now back up to its October 2008 staffing level of about 130 people.

Zillow is currently growing, but in a different way than it was before. Page views and unique visitors are up. The site had 8.8 million unique visitors in March, which is a 70 percent year-over-year growth. Zillow has the twice the users at this point as Barton’s team originally projected. However, the revenue per unique user is down to a third of what he expected it would be.

There was, of course, a fundamental shift in user behavior after the bust. But it wasn’t all bad. Buying activity on Zillow went down, though site traffic went up. As Barton says, “Buyers are on the sidelines, but not passively.” They’re monitoring the market, he says, looking for the time to jump in, to either buy or sell. Like the Zillow site itself, physical open houses are crowded, he says. The browsing activity doesn’t get reflected in home transaction data. Neither sales volumes nor prices are going up, even if people are circling open houses and online real estate sites like buzzards.

Until the market becomes a place where buyers and sellers want to engage again, they continue to gather information. So Barton continues to sell advertising and new data services.

I told Barton I thought Zillow was “real estate porn.” Barton accepts this–his business at the moment is based on it–and says simply, “there’s a practicality to real estate porn. People are dreaming about their next home. That’s positive. They’re planning.”

Barton is making access to that real estate porn easier. A new iPhone app shows you the Zillow price estimate (”Zestimate”) of homes as you walk or drive by them, and Barton says 10 percent to 20 percent of the site’s queries are coming from the iPhone app, which was downloaded 234,000 times in its first 12 days of release.

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