Raja Jasti’s Blog - Renaissance Thinking

April 18, 2009

Silicon Valley Hurtin’

Filed under: general — Tags: — Raja @ 12:43 pm

Silicon Valley unemployment soars to 11% in March 2009, highest rate in 30 years.

Silicon Valley’s unemployment rate jumped to a record 11 percent last month, and more than 100,000 people are now unemployed and looking for work in the area, the state reported Friday. The question now is how many more will join them before the recession ends.

No one claims to have the answer, but some analysts say there are inklings that the job losses may slow over the next few months, even though the region’s jobless rate rose from a revised 10.2 percent in February.

The March rate is the highest since the state began keeping comparable records for the valley in 1990, the Employment Development Department said.

California’s rate reached 11.2 percent in March, the fourth-highest in the country and the highest since 1976, which is as far back as EDD records go.

“It’s the most brutal labor market I’ve seen in 30 years,” said Michael Bernick, a San Francisco lawyer who was the EDD’s director from 1999 to 2004 and who has volunteered for decades with job training groups.

But there are also some encouraging signs. Stock prices of high-tech firms are up, as semiconductor companies such as Intel report an uptick in orders and a possible bottoming of the business free fall.

Housing at the lower end of the market is beginning to sell, with multiple offers becoming more common. Banks are reporting profits.

And amid the layoffs, a lot of hiring is going on, though less than usual, said former EDD director Bernick.

“The numbers we look at are net numbers,” he said. “Within that, there is an enormous amount of job creation and job destruction going on. I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s considerable job creation and hiring going on in Santa Clara County. There’s just more loss.”

Still, the job losses in this recession pale in comparison with the dot-com collapse, when 123,900 jobs were lost during one 12-month period. The valley has shed 36,200 jobs in the past year.

April 10, 2009

Wall street woes affect silicon valley

Filed under: Business, Trends — Tags: — Raja @ 3:27 pm

If you live in the silicon valley like me, you should read this mercury news article.

Tucked into the annual Mercury News data-palooza known as the Silicon Valley 150, there’s one nugget of information that I think tells us more than all the other lists and numbers about the profound changes in store for this region:

The number of public companies in Silicon Valley fell for the eighth consecutive year in 2008. Forget the inflated dot-com peak. That’s below the 315 the valley had in 1994, when the Mercury News started keeping track.

This is no longer a simple correction following a period of excess. This is now an unmistakable trend that represents the end of an era defined by a grand partnership between Silicon Valley and Wall Street. That alliance fueled a model for funding innovation that became the envy of the world. And now we have to come up with a new one.

“This is not just a change in the weather,” said Tim Walker, an editor at Hoover’s, an Austin, Texas-based business research firm that’s been tracking this trend, “this is a change in the landscape.”

The impact of this evolution will be felt by those who work in the tech sector. This means big consolidation in the number of venture capital firms followed by changes in how entrepreneurs raise money, how they get rewarded for innovation.

But it will also ripple out to those of us who don’t work in tech but have felt in recent years the impact of higher costs of living and housing prices driven by the IPO and stock options riches that are unevenly distributed by the innovation economy.

February 17, 2009

Silicon Valley health check

Filed under: Business, Trends — Tags: — Raja @ 12:55 pm

Plenty of coverage this morning on the state of the economy and silicon valley.

Tech layoffs continue to accelerate, though some of areas are better than the others. Some companies see this as a great time to buy. But not all is gloom and doom as there still are some bright spots and postive indicators and some tech startups can still raise from the ashes. Some companies are still getting heaps of funding even in this tough market.

February 4, 2009

O’Reilly on innovation

Filed under: Technology, Trends — Tags: , — Raja @ 9:52 am

Tim O’Reilly wrote an interesting article in forbes.com titled ‘where real innovation happens’. He is mostly talking about tech innovation.

“It turns out that many of the great waves of creative destruction that have reinvented Silicon Valley didn’t start there. More important, they didn’t even start with the profit motive. “

It is true that many innovations, worldwide web for example, were borne out side of silicon valley. But what silicon valley does best is tech product innovation. It is the place where cutting technologies turn to world changing products.

January 26, 2009

Silcon Valley, Next Detroit?

Filed under: Business, Entrepreneurship, Technology, Trends — Tags: , , — Raja @ 11:42 am

Dan Lyons (yes, of fake steve jobs fame) asks a provocative question in his business week article: could silicon valley become the next detroit?

“… unless we boost government spending on science, technology, engineering and math—STEM, in industry jargon—we will be unable to keep up with countries like China and India. At some point, companies such as Apple, Cisco, HP, IBM, Microsoft and Oracle could be eclipsed by foreign rivals, just as Ford, General Motors and Chrysler have been.”

As someone who spent half his lifetime in india, and the other half in the silicon valley, I think this scenario is far fetched at least for quite sometime.  I do think that US K12 education system needs to improve and more investments need to be made in science, technology, engineering and math. But college and post graduate education in the US is unrivaled in the world. Silicon valley has a unique ecosystem of big thinking entrepreneurs, culture of innovation, abundant supply of high end talent, great universities, and venture capital within driving distance that is hard to replicate in other places. Detroit is based on manufacturing that is much easier to replicate. I can not see anyone replicating apple. So no. Silicon valley will not be the bext detroit.

However I do think that you will see a lot more tech innovation from other places. This will happen whether US is investing more in high tech related fields or not. But this is not a zero sum game. World would be better for it.

Powered by WordPress